Forbes: Will there be a DeFi cycle in this cryptocurrency bull market?

Original Title: Will There Be A DeFi Cycle In This Crypto Bull Run?

Original Author: Sean Lee

Original Translation: Baihua Blockchain

As the crypto market enters a new bull run, the most pressing question is whether decentralized finance (DeFi) will once again take center stage. While the DeFi boom of 2020 propelled the development of the entire blockchain ecosystem, this cycle may adopt a more mature and rational approach, emphasizing practicality and long-term sustainability.

1. Why DeFi is More Important Than Ever

DeFi has transcended its experimental origins to become the cornerstone of blockchain innovation. By leveraging smart contracts and decentralized infrastructure, it provides a democratized financial service channel for millions of users worldwide.

DeFi is no longer a marginalized experiment but a proven disruptive technology. In 2021, approximately 1.4 billion people globally lacked bank accounts, with another billion being underbanked. DeFi offers a pathway to financial inclusion, enabling users to bypass traditional financial intermediaries. Today, stablecoins have become a pillar of the market, while DeFi lending platforms, decentralized exchanges (DEX), and staking protocols have fundamentally changed the flow of capital.

2. The Current Bull Market

To assess the likelihood of a DeFi cycle, we need to analyze the current market dynamics. In the ongoing bull market, Bitcoin and large asset prices are rising again, with the total market capitalization exceeding $3 trillion. However, the growth of DeFi does not solely rely on market optimism. Key indicators to watch include:

1) Market Liquidity

An increase in the total value locked (TVL) on DeFi platforms indicates enhanced user confidence. Recent data shows that TVL is steadily climbing and has now surpassed $75 billion.

2) Institutional Interest

Institutions such as BlackRock and Goldman Sachs are exploring DeFi infrastructure, indicating a trend toward mainstream adoption.

3) User Growth

Wallet activity in DeFi protocols has increased by 30% month-over-month, reflecting a continuous rise in user engagement.

3. The Rise of DeFi Innovators

The growth of DeFi's total value locked (TVL) has spawned several new innovative solutions in the market. Among the emerging players shaping the next phase of development, Nudge stands out. This company introduces a novel foundational mechanism in the DeFi ecosystem: programmable incentive payments, referred to as "nudges."

Nudge's approach is termed "redistribution primitives," representing a shift in how resources are utilized on DeFi platforms. Users can earn rewards by redistributing assets, while the protocol gains measurable and scalable user acquisition and retention tools. This concept goes beyond traditional token rewards, providing a more targeted and effective mechanism for ecosystem growth.

Maier added, "The inspiration for the nudging mechanism comes from the many protocols competing for the same pool of users and capital. By allowing users to profit from resource redistribution, we create new incentive mechanisms that align their actions with the success of the broader ecosystem."

Other emerging companies include Convex Finance and Tokemak. Convex Finance builds on Curve Finance, increasing yield opportunities for liquidity providers and Curve stakers by simplifying rewards and enhancing incentives. On the other hand, Tokemak acts as a decentralized liquidity provider, optimizing capital deployment across the ecosystem through its unique liquidity reactor.

While retail-focused DeFi solutions (like Nudge) aim to make financial tools more accessible for individual users, another category of DeFi applications focuses on institutional utilities, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized systems. For example, Singapore's Project Guardian explores institutional DeFi by experimenting with tokenized bonds and deposits to assess the potential of decentralized financial infrastructure. Supported by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), it aims to combine tokenized assets with licensed liquidity pools to provide a secure and scalable blueprint for institutional adoption.

4. The Role of Regulation

One of the key factors influencing the future of DeFi is regulation. As governments around the world strive to address the challenges of regulating decentralized systems, the impact of new policies on DeFi cannot be underestimated. Regulatory clarity could propel DeFi into the mainstream or stifle its growth.

Recent developments indicate a mixed bag for the industry. The EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation aims to create a comprehensive framework for crypto assets, including DeFi protocols. While this provides a pathway for legitimization, critics argue that overly stringent requirements could hinder innovation.

In the U.S., the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has intensified scrutiny of DeFi platforms, emphasizing the need to comply with existing securities laws. This has prompted many projects to consider adopting decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) structures to navigate regulatory hurdles. "While regulation is necessary, it must be balanced to foster innovation," Maier said.

For a deeper understanding of regulatory considerations, I recommend reading the "Key Elements of an Effective DeFi Framework," published by the Cryptocurrency Innovation Committee, of which I am a co-author. Here, we outline principles for crafting policies that encourage innovation while ensuring consumer protection and financial stability.

5. What Could Drive This DeFi Cycle?

In this bull market, several factors could reignite the DeFi cycle:

1) Institutional Interest: As traditional financial institutions explore blockchain technology, DeFi can serve as a bridge between centralized and decentralized systems.

2) Layer 2 Scaling Solutions: Emerging players in this field are making DeFi more accessible and cost-effective, potentially driving user adoption.

3) Tokenization of Real-World Assets: Integrating real-world assets into DeFi platforms can attract a broader audience and enhance practicality.

Maier added, "The next DeFi cycle will prioritize practicality over hype."

6. Conclusion

Despite the uncertainties of regulation and market sentiment, the fundamentals of DeFi remain strong. With innovative platforms like Nudge leading the way and ongoing advancements in blockchain technology, DeFi is poised for a resurgence in this bull market. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether DeFi can overcome challenges and reclaim its position as a driving force in the crypto ecosystem.